The National Centre of Meteorology (NCM) has forecasted that the El Niño climate phenomenon is set to persist through March 2027, with an exceptionally high 96 percent probability of continuing through the coming months. This event is expected to reach its peak intensity between October and November 2026, as indicated by the Niño 3.4 index. While this natural fluctuation in Pacific Ocean sea-surface temperatures typically influences weather on a global scale, the NCM anticipates that it could lead to higher-than-average temperatures and increased rainfall across the United Arab Emirates.

Despite these projections, officials have advised the public to remain calm and rely solely on verified reports. The NCM emphasized that the presence of El Niño does not guarantee extreme storms or flooding; rather, it creates a atmospheric environment that may favor more frequent rain, provided that local conditions are supportive. Meteorologists have specifically debunked alarmist social media rumors regarding catastrophic flooding, clarifying that the phenomenon’s impact on the region is highly dependent on local weather systems and seasonal patterns.